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Posted on Aug 30, 2022Read on Mirror.xyz

Don't Get Pegged: Y2K Finance

Introduction

Y2K Finance’s most generic description is a decentralized “peg exotic marketplace” offering products to hedge, trade, leverage, or otherwise speculate on pegged assets. It is an incubator project of the New Order DAO, and will launch on Arbitrum. At launch, it will establish a new approach to reliable, trustless on-chain depeg protection.

The first available product will be “Earthquake” bringing binary options-style vaults for betting on or against depeg events. Soon after comes “Tsunami” and “Wildfire”, a GLP-esque product powered by “collateralized debt obligation NFTs” and a secondary market for trading Earthquake risk positions (respectively).

Y2K's genesis product suite

In the long run, Y2K intends to build a comprehensive product stack for market participants seeking exposure to the performance of stablecoins, liquid staking derivatives, and token wrappers.

The Problem

Pegged assets naturally risk losing peg at any moment. No matter the reason for de-peg events, they all ironically have one common denominator… people get pegged! This leads to a demand not only for some form of coverage, but tools for speculating on pegged assets as well.

The market for these products is extremely bare, leaving users without an outlet for hedging against their pegged assets depegging. Not only this, but a market for hedging or speculating on something like the Terra collapse would have brought about a huge profit opportunity for many.

The Goal

Y2K will bring together both sides of the trade on pegged assets: those betting on a depeg occurring and those betting against a depeg occurring. Essentially, it strives to natively integrate CAT bonds for regular DeFi investors, DAOs, and institutions alike looking to buy and sell coverage. This is important because not only can Earthquake vaults be used by individuals looking to hedge or speculate, but Earthquake can scale even further allowing protocols to fully customize “insurance” vaults and sell protection on their native pegged asset(s).

Y2K will keep expanding its ambitious cluster of products with additions like de-peg forecasting, options, insurance vault auto-compounders, peg arbitrage vaults, a lending market for risk tokens, multi-chain support, and more.

How Does It Work? Y2K’s Core Product Earthquake

Earthquake vaults will only accept ETH collateral and follow a basic three-component format:

Epoch: the start and end date of a vault lockup period

Strike: if a vault’s asset deviates below strike price, a liquidation event will trigger

Pegged Asset: the underlying asset for which risk is being traded

USDC, DAI, MIM, USDT (replacing FEI), and FRAX will all have Earthquake vaults at launch with plans to add stETH and wBTC

Users can play either side of a pegged asset, hedging by depositing into the “Premia” vault or selling protection by depositing into the “Collateral” vault.

Premia depositors get instantly paid out with the entirety of the Collateral vault contents in the event their vault’s asset de-pegs below the strike they choose. Every epoch, they pay a fraction of their ETH deposit (a premium) to collateral depositors even if a de-peg occurs.

Collateral depositors similarly choose a strike and will have their collateral liquidated if a de-peg occurs below the strike they choose. They are paid by Premia depositors every epoch, only receiving their collateral back if no de-peg occurs. Either payout is determined by the proportion of TVL between vaults, which brings two primary scenarios.

Let’s assume there is double the amount of ETH deposits in a Collateral vault, presenting a 2-1 ratio. In the event of a deviation below strike, Chainlink oracles will trigger an instant 2-1 payout to insurance buyers relative to their deposit (minus fees to the protocol).

On the other hand, if the ratio is reversed and a de-peg event occurs, insurance buyers will be left with only 50% coverage. While scenarios exist where hedgers are not fully covered, the chances of this are diminished with the attractive arbitrage opportunity up for grabs to market participants.

Diagram showing how Earthquake vaults work

Some of the Collateral vault contents are strategically deployed during every epoch to earn additional yield for depositors. Fees are taken from all payouts/yield strategies and collected by the Y2K Treasury, bringing constant cashflow to the protocol and token holders whether de-pegs occur or not!

How Does it Work? Analyzing Tsunami

Tsunami is a CDO-powered debt market that will model GMX’s GLP product. It is expected to accept a range of collateral into a host liquidity pool such as stablecoins, ETH, and derivatives. This collateral is then used to take out debt (e.g. mint stablecoins) and earn yield, and depositors receive a “CDO NFT” to represent their deposit and corresponding cashflow.

On top of this yield, the CDO NFT passes back exclusive access to a bot for liquidating under-collateralized Tsunami positions. This bot captures MEV in the process and grants additional yield to the liquidator.

Diagram depicting the Tsunami debt market and its components

Tsunami leverages Earthquake ETH collateral to backstop positions near liquidation before their CDO NFT is put up for auction. It will use profitable strategies like auctioning order flow and arbitraging pegged collateral, passing consistent and diverse real yield back to Tsunami depositors.

How Does it Work? A Look at Wildfire

Wildfire is yet another facet of Y2K that allows users to trade tokenized Earthquake risk positions on a secondary market even after an epoch’s initial deposit period has ended. 0x Protocol has stated before that they will launch on Arbitrum after the release of Arbitrum Nitro. 0x will power Wildfire’s central limit order book (CLOB), so Wildfire will be ready for launch once this happens.

Infographic on Y2K's Wildfire for exchanging tokenized Earthquake risk

With Wildfire, users can effectively “take profit” or “stop out” during any point in an epoch by trading these tokenized vault positions. Whether they change their mind or just missed a deposit period, users still have a way to hedge or take on new risk. However not without penalty, as tokenized positions are only redeemable for just a small fraction of the actual payouts to epoch-long depositors.

The Team and Partnerships

As a New Order DAO incubator project, Y2K will have the support of the usual DeFi bigbrains like 0xSami, dcfintern, knowerofmarkets and more. It recently announced a partnership with Sturdy Finance which will use Y2K to offer peg insurance to its users.

Because it is un-launched, Y2K has no other officially established partnerships, but its framework presents the opportunity for seamless integrations of other protocols by exclusively offering them fully-customizable insurance vaults for their pegged assets.

Tokenomics

$Y2K Price: N/A

Market Capitalization: N/A

Circulating Supply: N/A

Total Supply: N/A

While there are little details from the team, it has been said not to expect Y2K’s token to release alongside the protocol at launch. There are no details on a public sale yet, but as of right now both a “Champions” role and a “Doomslist” exist in the Y2K Discord.

It is also known that Y2K will pursue an Initial Farm Offering (IFO) model for fairly distributing $Y2K, emitting escrowed $Y2K for Earthquake depositors over 137 weeks total. This esY2K is unlockable once the release of veY2K and $Y2K bonds hit, expected sometime later this year.

Most importantly, what we know is $Y2K will follow the widely-supported veToken model for protocol governance and collecting fees. As such, the potential for a bribe market for veY2K holders is naturally established too. Here’s all the released details from Y2K’s first Medium post:

Fee Revenue a. 5% fee from risk collateral yield. b. 0.25% fee from premiums and collateral deposits.

veY2K a. Conviction locking for our strongest supporters and heaviest users. b. Emissions allocations to incentives usage of specific vaults. c. Revenue boosting based on lock duration. d. Marketplaces for veY2K.

Governance and Bribery a. Governing power over addition of new assets and derivative products. b. Opportunities to generate yield by selling rights to projects seeking inclusion.

Conclusion

Ultimately, Y2K meets a demand that has little to no product supply. Earthquake’s hedging vaults, Tsunami’s capital efficient approach to debt and onchain liquidations, and the Wildfire secondary speculation market all accommodate this need in new, innovative ways.

Not only that, but this product suite generates a steady cashflow for the protocol and token holders alike, appealing to the “real yield” narrative spinning up in DeFi today. The exigency is there, and the expansive tool-belt that Y2K offers for speculating on pegged assets seems like the perfect solution.


Header Artist Credits to ArrogantKei

Special thanks to Bumzy and crypwalk

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