Footprint Analytics

Posted on Jun 13, 2023Read on Mirror.xyz

NFT Monthly Report: The Rise and Fall of the Market in May

Footprint Analytics

Author: [email protected]

The NFT market showed little sign of renewed optimism in May, despite $43 million raised, the highest amount of funding since November 2022.

However, the amount raised outpaced actual market volume and user growth, suggesting that enthusiasm remains concentrated among venture investors. Mainstream collectors have yet to match the interest. Unique users and trading volume continue to decline.

The market needs to move beyond temporary hype and speculation and attract broader participation and success across projects.

Data of this report was obtained from Footprint’s NFT research page. An easy-to-use dashboard containing the most vital stats and metrics to understand the NFT industry, updated in real-time, you can find all the latest about trades, projects, fundings, and more by clicking here.

Key Points

Crypto Macro Overview

  • Indicating the whole crypto market, BTC opened the month of May at $28,074, peaked on May 5 at $29,528, and turned down to $27,223 on May 31.

NFT Market Overview

  • The NFT market currently has a market capitalization of about $20 billion, with approximately 30,000 unique users interacting with the market on a daily basis.
  • The number of users in the NFT market is not increasing a lot while Milady Maker’s getting hot mentioned by Elon Musk.

Chains & Marketplaces for NFTs

  • Ethereum dominates NFT volume with over 95% of the total market.
  • However, in terms of unique active wallets, about 40% are on Ethereum, 34% on Polygon and 16% on Solana.
  • Over 70% of wash-trading takes place on x2y2, indicating that their systems and policies allow manipulative behaviour with fewer barriers.

NFT Investment & Funding

  • The total amount raised in May was $43.2 million, the highest since November 2022.
  • However, there were only 7 funding rounds, which is a relatively low number.

Hot Topics of the Month: Bitcoin Ordinals

  • Ordinals are a unique category of NFTs that are based on the Bitcoin network.
  • People still expect the future and further expansion of the Bitcoin network.

What’s new in this month?

  • OKX Wallet Becomes First Multi-Chain Platform to Enable Viewing and Transfer of Bitcoin Ordinals.
  • Adidas and Pharrell Release Digital Clothing for Doodles NFT Holders.
  • NFT Marketplace Blur Launches Blend, a Peer-to-Peer Lending Platform.
  • Elon Musk Sends Milady NFTs Soaring.
  • Binance Adds Support for Bitcoin Ordinals to Its NFT Marketplace.
  • Sony Launches Web3 Incubator Program.

Crypto Macro Overview

BTC opened the month of May at $28,074, peaked on May 5 at $29,528, and turned down to $27,223 on May 31. For the month as a whole, bitcoin was down slightly by 0.5%.

BTC Price & ETH Price

However, BTC as a marketing indicator, is still up more than 64% year-to-date, compared to its price of $16,605 on Jan. 1. ETH is following the same trend, down less than 1% in May, and up 58% year-to-date in 2022.

Market players shouldn’t have a false feeling of security as a result of the current quiet in the volatility of Bitcoin and ETH. Specifically, BTC saw a significant 13.3% drop in on-chain volume, indicating a decrease in trading activity on Bitcoin Network.

NFT Market Overview

The NFT market currently has a market capitalization of about $20 billion, with approximately 30,000 unique users interacting with the market on a daily basis.

NFT Market Cap & Volume

NFT volume is random and cannot fully represent the market as a whole, but we can still see that volume is down significantly comparing to April. In May, volume started solid at $27 million, jumped to $35 million, then dropped by two-thirds before partially recovering.

Elon Musk’s Twitter

The Milady Maker collection was mentioned in a tweet by Elon Musk on May 10, 2023, which caused trading volume to spike to $13.95 million, sending prices soaring. The mid-month spike shows how young the NFT market is. The bigger picture can be skewed by “hot” new collections or sales that come and go quickly in terms of popularity.

Daily Unique Users

Though, on May 10th, the number of users in the NFT market is not increasing a lot, so we may speculate that the NFT user base is not growing significantly at the moment, even though Milady Maker’s collection is getting hot, the users are still the same people who have been in this market for a long time.

Daily Buyers & Sellers

At the beginning of May, there were more NFT buyers than sellers, with the ratio being 2:1, mostly because of some projects on Polygon as below, with a bunch of buyers and only several sellers on the secondary market.

NFT Buyers & Sellers on May 2

According to the data of daily buyers & sellers, there are still more NFTs listed for sale than active buyers interested in buying them, indicating a potential oversupply of NFTs, not necessarily subpar collections.

While the NFT market has experienced fluctuations, it is still a growing industry with the potential for long-term growth and acceptance.

Chains & Marketplaces for NFTs

Ethereum dominates NFT volume with over 95% of the total market. However, in terms of unique active wallets, about 40% are on Ethereum, 34% on Polygon and 16% on Solana.

Total Volume & Unique Users by Chains

While still small compared to traditional markets, growing unique participation across multiple chains is a healthier sign for the NFT space than if the large majority remained concentrated on Ethereum alone.

Washtrade Value by Marketplace

According to Footprint Analytics, over 70% of wash-trading takes place on x2y2, indicating that their systems and policies allow manipulative behavior with fewer barriers — whether intentional or not, this highlights the speculative nature of the current NFT market and the need for continued progress towards transparency, trust and genuine mainstream interest.

Washtrade Value by Marketplace

It is expected for the wash trade value to decrease as the NFT market experiences a downturn, but it is noteworthy that the wash trade percentage has also decreased over the past three months.

Wash Trade Ratio of NFT Market

After a brief period of euphoria caused by the Blur airdrop, the NFT market has now returned to a bearish state, characterised by a marked decline in speculator enthusiasm.

Washtrade Ratio

Footprint Analytics has conducted an analysis of the top 50 volume collections. This shows a decrease in the prevalence of wash trading, which can be primarily attributed to two key factors:

  1. Speculation-driven projects

Projects such as MineablePunks and Terraforms by Mathcastles initially gained significant trading volume based on speculation. However, these projects were based solely on hype and lacked substantial underlying value. As traders and investors realised the limited utility and long-term potential of these collections, interest waned, resulting in a loss of sustained trading activity.

2. Wash trading during the hype

Wash trading played a significant role in certain collections at the height of their hype. However, as the excitement and frenzy around these collections subsided, speculators no longer found it advantageous to engage in such activity. As a result, both wash trading and overall trading volume declined. This trend was particularly evident for collections hosted on the Opensea platform(Opensea collections).

As speculators reduce their trading activity, it is expected that the prices of certain collections may take a hit. However, this period of lull in the NFT market actually fosters a healthier environment, paving the way for future prosperity.

In addition, the market slowdown is lowering barriers to entry, providing opportunities for genuine users and game developers to participate. With less speculative trading dominating the market, project teams can now focus on their project. This strategic shift allows them to lay the groundwork for a potential recovery in the next market cycle and attract long-term investors who value the sustainable growth and utility of NFT projects.

When it comes marketplaces, according to the latest data, Blur is currently the leading NFT marketplace with a monthly value share of around 60%. This is followed by OpenSea with around 20% and x2y2 with around 10%.

Monthly Value by Marketplace — Distribution

NFT Investment & Funding

The total amount raised in May was $43.2 million, the highest since November 2022. However, there were only 7 funding rounds, which is a relatively low number.

Monthly NFT Projects Fundraising Amount & Times

In May, two significant NFT funding with the most amount are Pudgy Penguins and AlienSwap. Pudgy Penguins raised a $9 million seed round led by 1kx to build the next great IP company. And AlienSwap raised $12 million led by NEXT Leader Capital and C² Ventures to expand the AlienSwap engineering team.

Pudgy Penguins

The higher amounts invested in May are a positive signal of renewed optimism, despite a slowdown in actual market activity and participation. However, sustainability depends on broader success across more projects.

Hot Topics of the Month: Bitcoin Ordinals

Ordinals are a unique category of NFTs that are based on the Bitcoin network. Ordinals have seen insane growth in the few months. A Twitter Space from Footprint Analytics talked about this topic.

It begins on January 21, 2023, when programmer and crypto enthusiast Casey Rodarmor launched the Ordinals protocol on the Bitcoin network. The innovation allows for the minting of Bitcoin NFTs. Ordinals caused a high number of Bitcoin transactions in May.

Bitcoin Daily Transaction Fees

They introduce a new dimension to digital collectibles and asset ownership by allowing users to add arbitrary data to a Bitcoin transaction and tie that data to an individual satoshi, creating a unique asset known as an ordinal. For now, it has minted over 10 million according to Footprint data.

The Ordinals protocol is still in its infancy, with lightweight wallet applications, NFT trading markets, and other “infrastructure” yet to be built. People still expect the future and further expansion of the Bitcoin network.

This piece is contributed by the Footprint Analytics community.

The Footprint Community is a place where data and crypto enthusiasts worldwide help each other understand and gain insights about Web3, the metaverse, DeFi, GameFi, or any other area of the fledgling world of blockchain. Here you’ll find active, diverse voices supporting each other and driving the community forward.

Footprint Website: https://www.footprint.network

Discord: https://discord.gg/3HYaR6USM7

Twitter: https://twitter.com/Footprint_Data

NFT